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Taiwan Warns of Potential Increase in China’s Gray-Zone Tactics Under Xi’s Fourth Term

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Taiwan has raised concerns about the potential intensification of “gray-zone” activities by China if President Xi Jinping secures a fourth term. Chiu Chui-cheng, Minister of Taiwan’s Mainland Affairs Council, warned that Beijing might escalate efforts to extend its influence over Taiwan and seek broader international recognition of its territorial claims.

Gray-zone activities refer to tactics that fall below the threshold of armed conflict but are intended to pressure or coerce, such as maritime maneuvers or other strategic actions. Chiu indicated that China’s increasing military presence and diplomatic pressure have already contributed to heightened tensions across the Taiwan Strait.

Chiu also expressed concerns that China could more vigorously promote its “one country, two systems” model, a framework that Beijing suggests could apply to Taiwan, despite Taiwan’s firm stance on maintaining its democratic system and distinct political identity.

The comments from the Mainland Affairs Council come amid ongoing unease in Taiwan over China’s strategy of using historical events and cultural exchanges as a means to further its political agenda. This includes activities linked to the commemoration of historical figures like Sun Yat-sen, which Chiu argues are employed by Beijing to support its objectives.

Taiwan continues to resist these pressures, emphasizing the fundamental differences between its democratic governance and China’s political model. The island remains vigilant against any actions from Beijing that could undermine the existing cross-strait status quo.

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